I wanted to present some facts that would be useful to anyone interested in making a very rough estimate (l of the infection fatality rate of COVID-19. The main reason I'm putting this out there, to be honest, is because the figures pretty clearly contradict some of the more extreme claims about COVID-19 being much … Continue reading Facts useful to anyone who wants to estimate COVID-19 mortality in New York City
Category: Coronavirus
Putting a minimum lower bound on the COVID-19 death rate
If you enjoy this article check out my book, I’ve made it free to help you self-quarantine: https://deponysum.com/2020/03/30/something-to-read-in-quarantine-essays-2018-to-2020/ First of all, let me be clear that I am an absolute amateur. Be warned, lest I infect the world with misinformation. I'm putting this out there to try and refine a minimum lower bound for the death … Continue reading Putting a minimum lower bound on the COVID-19 death rate
We know exactly what is going to happen
The growth of Coronavirus is unpredictable, right? Wrong. The growth of an uncontrolled Coronavirus epidemic within a country is very predictable, it follows a clear exponential trend. We know what will happen if things continue as they are, and the government has all the statisticians and epidemiologists in the world to tell them this. There … Continue reading We know exactly what is going to happen
Coronavirus: demands the left should make
I wrote these demands for an Australian context, but it could easily be adapted to other countries. Demands the left should make during the Coronavirus crisis: 1. The priority must be people before profits. 2. Massive investment in medical essentials now. 3. Be proactive- shut down what can be shut down now, before waiting for … Continue reading Coronavirus: demands the left should make
#SHUTDOWNEVERYTHING
The flatten the curve movement has been really inspiring- a global, spontaneous public health movement filling in for states which seem unwilling or unable to protect their citizens. The determination, goodwill and willingness to take responsibility inherent in #flattenthecurve should give hope to anyone who dreams of a better world. I think #flattenthecurve may yet … Continue reading #SHUTDOWNEVERYTHING