It may be that the reason there was no coup is those damn millennials

Going into the election I thought there was about a 10% chance that Trump would make a serious extra-legal coup attempt if he lost- a view I maintained both against people who thought it was way too high, and against people who thought it was way too low. One thing that weighed heavily on my … Continue reading It may be that the reason there was no coup is those damn millennials

UPDATE: performance jump in two very interesting natural language benchmarks (it’s gone away)

Early I reported on a sudden jump in two important Natural Language Processing benchmarks- The ARC-Easy and the OpenBookQA. A new methodology apparently reduced by two thirds errors in the first, and made no errors whatsoever in the second- giving it solidly superhuman performance. These achievements would be, to say the least, extremely impressive. However, … Continue reading UPDATE: performance jump in two very interesting natural language benchmarks (it’s gone away)

Massive performance jump in two very interesting natural language benchmarks

NOTE: This story is now subject to an update which likely invalidates its central premise: https://deponysum.com/2020/11/22/update-performance-jump-in-two-very-interesting-natural-language-benchmarks-its-gone-away/ "BERT Ensemble - MBGA Optimization" is a new entrant to two leader-boards natural language understanding tasks on the the Allen AI Leader-boards. Without trying to sound clickbaity, I audibly gasped when I read its results. It scored 97.6% on … Continue reading Massive performance jump in two very interesting natural language benchmarks

Brief observation on the political economy of the welfare state

It is often observed by conservatives that the existence of a welfare state reduces the incentive to have a job. Of course it may also provide people with a means to pull themselves out of poverty, take greater entrepreneurial risks etc counterbalancing this incentive. It occurred to me though that there's another incentive effect which … Continue reading Brief observation on the political economy of the welfare state

A theory of a lot of what gets called cringe, owing to Partha Dasgupta

I was reading through the The Oxford Handbook of Philosophy of Economics like the nerd that I am when I noticed this passage from Partha Dasgupta describing why economists don't talk about values much: "It is almost as though the protagonists are embarrassed to air their values, because to do so would be to state … Continue reading A theory of a lot of what gets called cringe, owing to Partha Dasgupta

The Ballad of Reading Gaol as a rejection of all law and politics, or: humanism as anarchic aspiration

For he who lives more lives than one  More deaths than one must die. -Section III They think a murderer's heart would taint  Each simple seed they sow.It is not true! God's kindly earth  Is kindlier than men know,And the red rose would but blow more red,  The white rose whiter blow. -Section IV 1. When I was young, … Continue reading The Ballad of Reading Gaol as a rejection of all law and politics, or: humanism as anarchic aspiration